Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 16:08
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Group 1 over 2400m, run on GOOD going. RUSSIAN EMPEROR, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with ROMANTIC WARRIOR second and FIVE G PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.2 favourite ROMANTIC WARRIOR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly SR 2.26.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.3 | N |
| 2 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Led early TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 1.2 | N |
| 3 | 9 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | PANFIELD TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SENOR TOBA TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 3 | 57.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | NATURAL STORM B L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 1 | 68.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | COLUMBUS COUNTY TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 46.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 48.6% | 2.06 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 17.9% | 5.58 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 7.5% | 13.42 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | FIVE G PATCH | 7.1% | 14.13 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | NATURAL STORM | 4.9% | 20.51 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | MONEY CATCHER | 4.8% | 20.86 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | SENOR TOBA | 3.5% | 28.84 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | PANFIELD | 3.1% | 32.25 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 2.8% | 36.25 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 93.5
PLACE
1 10.1
2 17
9 47.5
QUINELLA
1,2 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 19.5
1,9 50.5
2,9 172.5
FORECAST
2,1 139
TIERCE
2,1,9 2,162
TRIO
1,2,9 186
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 146
QUARTET
2,1,9,6 7,265
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 60.5
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 161.5
2/2 3,525