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Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 15:00

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.79
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT 1.21.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 12 5.0 N
2 0 YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB1/TT- L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 7.6 N
3 0 RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung 1 16.0 1-3/4
4 0 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly C Y Ho · D A Hayes 9 4.3 2-3/4
5 0 MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 20.0 3
6 0 WATCH BUDDY Closed strongly A Badel · P F Yiu 4 9.5 4
7 0 BRAVE AND BOLD Closed strongly K C Leung · J Size 11 36.0 6
8 0 DRAGON STAR B/XB/TT1 L Ferraris · P C Ng 10 43.0 7
9 0 HIGH CLOUD B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 15.0 8-1/2
10 0 SUPER WINNER TT E C W Wong · C H Yip 8 19.0 9-3/4
11 0 COMMANDING MISSILE H M Chadwick · C W Chang 5 7.2 10
13 0 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE BO/XB M Dee · A T Millard 6 30.0 16-1/2
14 0 URBAN TRIUMPH V/TT B Avdulla · W Y So 2 22.0 21-1/2
— 0 DAILY TROPHY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes — 17.0 14-1/2
— 0 GOAL ORIENTED K C Leung · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT MIGHTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by N, with YELLOWFIN second and RIVER VIEWS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite YOUNG HORIZON finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CIRCUIT MIGHTY—2. YELLOWFIN+0.05L3. RIVER VIEWS+1.75L4. YOUNG HORIZON+2.75L5. MASTER HERO+3L6. WATCH BUDDY+4L7. BRAVE AND BOLD+6L8. DRAGON STAR+7L9. HIGH CLOUD+8.5L10. SUPER WINNER+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CIRCUIT MIGHTY (15.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 15.6% 6.41 1
2 0 RIVER VIEWS 12.7% 7.89 3
3 0 YELLOWFIN 12.5% 8.03 2
4 0 YOUNG HORIZON 10.1% 9.93 4
5 0 WATCH BUDDY 8.9% 11.18 6
6 0 COMMANDING MISSILE 7.9% 12.69 11
7 0 MASTER HERO 5.1% 19.56 5
8 0 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE 5.1% 19.66 13
9 0 DAILY TROPHY 4.8% 20.64 —
10 0 URBAN TRIUMPH 4.4% 22.76 14
11 0 SUPER WINNER 4.2% 23.65 10
12 0 HIGH CLOUD 3.2% 31.29 9
13 0 DRAGON STAR 3.2% 31.49 8
14 0 BRAVE AND BOLD 2.3% 42.91 7
CIRCUIT MIGHTY — wonRIVER VIEWSYELLOWFINYOUNG HORIZONWATCH BUDDYCOMMANDING MISSILEMASTER HEROSINGAPORE SUNSHINEDAILY TROPHYURBAN TRIUMPHSUPER WINNERHIGH CLOUDDRAGON STARBRAVE AND BOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 50

PLACE

1 21

6 26.5

14 40.5

QUINELLA

1,6 212

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 80.5

1,14 144.5

6,14 180

FORECAST

1,6 380

TIERCE

1,6,14 4,140

TRIO

1,6,14 1,053

FIRST 4

1,6,13,14 758

QUARTET

1,6,14,13 15,735

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 17.5

5TH DOUBLE

1/1 159.5

1/6 32