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Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 15:00

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT MIGHTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by N, with YELLOWFIN second and RIVER VIEWS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite YOUNG HORIZON finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.21.79
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT 1.21.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 12 5.0 N
2 6 YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB1/TT- L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 7.6 N
3 14 RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung 1 16.0 1-3/4
4 13 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly C Y Ho · D A Hayes 9 4.3 2-3/4
5 3 MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 20.0 3
6 5 WATCH BUDDY Closed strongly A Badel · P F Yiu 4 9.5 4
7 12 BRAVE AND BOLD Closed strongly K C Leung · J Size 11 36.0 6
8 9 DRAGON STAR B/XB/TT1 L Ferraris · P C Ng 10 43.0 7
9 10 HIGH CLOUD B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 15.0 8-1/2
10 2 SUPER WINNER TT E C W Wong · C H Yip 8 19.0 9-3/4
11 11 COMMANDING MISSILE H M Chadwick · C W Chang 5 7.2 10
12 7 DAILY TROPHY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 14 17.0 14-1/2
13 4 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE BO/XB M Dee · A T Millard 6 30.0 16-1/2
14 8 URBAN TRIUMPH V/TT B Avdulla · W Y So 2 22.0 21-1/2
0 GOAL ORIENTED K C Leung · K H Ting

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CIRCUIT MIGHTY2. YELLOWFIN+0.05L3. RIVER VIEWS+1.75L4. YOUNG HORIZON+2.75L5. MASTER HERO+3L6. WATCH BUDDY+4L7. BRAVE AND BOLD+6L8. DRAGON STAR+7L9. HIGH CLOUD+8.5L10. SUPER WINNER+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CIRCUIT MIGHTY (15.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 15.6% 6.41 1
2 14 RIVER VIEWS 12.7% 7.89 3
3 6 YELLOWFIN 12.5% 8.03 2
4 13 YOUNG HORIZON 10.1% 9.93 4
5 5 WATCH BUDDY 8.9% 11.18 6
6 11 COMMANDING MISSILE 7.9% 12.69 11
7 3 MASTER HERO 5.1% 19.56 5
8 4 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE 5.1% 19.66 13
9 7 DAILY TROPHY 4.8% 20.64 12
10 8 URBAN TRIUMPH 4.4% 22.76 14
11 2 SUPER WINNER 4.2% 23.65 10
12 10 HIGH CLOUD 3.2% 31.29 9
13 9 DRAGON STAR 3.2% 31.49 8
14 12 BRAVE AND BOLD 2.3% 42.91 7
CIRCUIT MIGHTY — wonRIVER VIEWSYELLOWFINYOUNG HORIZONWATCH BUDDYCOMMANDING MISSILEMASTER HEROSINGAPORE SUNSHINEDAILY TROPHYURBAN TRIUMPHSUPER WINNERHIGH CLOUDDRAGON STARBRAVE AND BOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 50

PLACE

1 21

6 26.5

14 40.5

QUINELLA

1,6 212

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 80.5

1,14 144.5

6,14 180

FORECAST

1,6 380

TIERCE

1,6,14 4,140

TRIO

1,6,14 1,053

FIRST 4

1,6,13,14 758

QUARTET

1,6,14,13 15,735

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A2

A3 17.5

5TH DOUBLE

1/1 159.5

1/6 32