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Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 17:53

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHING Closed strongly 1.35.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C W Chang 12 7.3 SH
3 0 LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size 7 26.0 1-1/4
4 0 WAR WEAPON Closed strongly XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 2 9.7 1-3/4
5 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu 13 10.0 2-1/2
6 0 HAPPY TOGETHER H/TT H Bentley · R Gibson 6 9.9 3-1/2
7 0 CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 5 17.0 4-1/2
8 0 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly K Teetan · W Y So 9 9.0 5
9 0 SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting 4 9.6 5
11 0 NEVER TOO SOON Led early TT M Dee · D J Hall 8 28.0 8-1/4
12 0 CASA COSMO B-/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 1 30.0 8-3/4
13 0 SUPER OASIS B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 66.0 11-1/2
14 0 RUN RUN BUDDY CP/TT- K C Leung · F C Lor 3 6.2 13-1/2
— 0 PODIUM XB C Y Ho · K W Lui — 30.0 7-1/4
— 0 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly XB-/TT Z Purton · C S Shum — 5.1 SH

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C W Chang, won by SH, with LEADING FORTUNE second and WAR WEAPON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.1 favourite HELENE FEELING did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHING—3. LEADING FORTUNE+1.25L4. WAR WEAPON+1.75L5. POWERFUL WINGS+2.5L6. HAPPY TOGETHER+3.5L7. CAPITAL LEGEND+4.5L8. OWNERS' PRAISE+5L9. SMILING COLLECTOR+5L11. NEVER TOO SOON+8.25L12. CASA COSMO+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HELENE FEELING 17.6% 5.67 —
2 0 CHING 16.0% 6.25 1
3 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 11.0% 9.12 8
4 0 WAR WEAPON 9.1% 10.93 4
5 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 8.7% 11.50 6
6 0 SMILING COLLECTOR 8.2% 12.13 9
7 0 RUN RUN BUDDY 7.3% 13.76 14
8 0 POWERFUL WINGS 5.5% 18.27 5
9 0 CAPITAL LEGEND 4.4% 22.68 7
10 0 NEVER TOO SOON 3.2% 31.23 11
11 0 CASA COSMO 2.7% 37.49 12
12 0 LEADING FORTUNE 2.3% 43.40 3
13 0 SUPER OASIS 2.3% 44.44 13
14 0 PODIUM 1.7% 57.37 —
HELENE FEELINGCHING — wonOWNERS' PRAISEWAR WEAPONHAPPY TOGETHERSMILING COLLECTORRUN RUN BUDDYPOWERFUL WINGSCAPITAL LEGENDNEVER TOO SOONCASA COSMOLEADING FORTUNESUPER OASISPODIUM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 73

PLACE

1 25.5

3 21

6 75

QUINELLA

1,3 200.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 73.5

1,6 293

3,6 254

FORECAST

1,3 355

TIERCE

1,3,6 7,970

TRIO

1,3,6 1,814

FIRST 4

1,3,6,14 5,008

QUARTET

1,3,6,14 104,543

All pools (5 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/1 1,308.5

3/3 215

2ND TREBLE

1/3/1 4,288

1/3/3 620

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 29.5

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,6/1,3,6 137,261

SIX UP

1/2/2/1/3/1 20,333,336

1,6/2,9/1,2/1,8/3,5/1,3 7,331

1 [Z Purton] —

2 [J Size] —