沙田 · 2023-05-28 · 17:53
第 11場
2023-05-28沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、C W Chang訓練的CHING勝出，贏出SH。HELENE FEELING獲得亞軍；LEADING FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.1倍大熱門HELENE FEELING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHING 後段發力 1.35.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 12 | 7.3 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | HELENE FEELING 後段發力 XB-/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 5.1 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | WAR WEAPON 後段發力 XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 2 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 13 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY TOGETHER H/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 6 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | CAPITAL LEGEND 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 9.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SMILING COLLECTOR 後段發力 V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 9.6 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | PODIUM XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 30.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON 早段領放 TT M Dee · D J Hall | M Dee | D J Hall | 8 | 28.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CASA COSMO B-/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 1 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER OASIS B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 66.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | RUN RUN BUDDY CP/TT- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 6.2 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HELENE FEELING | 17.6% | 5.67 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | CHING | 16.0% | 6.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 11.0% | 9.12 | 8 |
| 4 | 14 | WAR WEAPON | 9.1% | 10.93 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 8.7% | 11.50 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 8.2% | 12.13 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | RUN RUN BUDDY | 7.3% | 13.76 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS | 5.5% | 18.27 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 4.4% | 22.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.2% | 31.23 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | CASA COSMO | 2.7% | 37.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | LEADING FORTUNE | 2.3% | 43.40 | 3 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER OASIS | 2.3% | 44.44 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | PODIUM | 1.7% | 57.37 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 73
PLACE
1 25.5
3 21
6 75
QUINELLA
1,3 200.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 73.5
1,6 293
3,6 254
FORECAST
1,3 355
TIERCE
1,3,6 7,970
TRIO
1,3,6 1,814
FIRST 4
1,3,6,14 5,008
QUARTET
1,3,6,14 104,543
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
3/1 1,308.5
3/3 215
2ND TREBLE
1/3/1 4,288
1/3/3 620
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29.5
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,6/1,3,6 137,261
SIX UP
1/2/2/1/3/1 20,333,336
1,6/2,9/1,2/1,8/3,5/1,3 7,331
1 [Z Purton] —
2 [J Size] —