Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 15:34
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | PUBLICIST Closed strongly V M Dee · P C Ng | M Dee | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly CP/H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 7.2 | N |
| 4 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VANTASTIC CHOICE B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 6 | 4.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART LEADER Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 11 | 62.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TOGEPI K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFETTO Closed strongly B1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 167.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING DATA B1/TT1 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 7 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY Led early V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | FOREST GOLD TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 80.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | — | 67.0 | HD |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PUBLICIST, ridden by M Dee and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with BLUE MARLIN second and SIMPLE HEDGE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite SIMPLE HEDGE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 32.3% | 3.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | LOST CHILD | 12.4% | 8.08 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | TOGEPI | 10.8% | 9.25 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN | 7.8% | 12.80 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFETTO | 5.6% | 17.93 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | PUBLICIST | 5.2% | 19.06 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | FOREST GOLD | 4.7% | 21.16 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING DATA | 4.5% | 22.40 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 3.9% | 25.69 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 3.8% | 26.25 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 3.5% | 28.63 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 2.0% | 50.55 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 1.9% | 53.75 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | SETANTA | 1.7% | 59.07 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 676
PLACE
2 127
3 23.5
9 34
QUINELLA
2,9 3,097
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 508
2,9 828.5
3,9 136
FORECAST
2,9 8,808
TIERCE
2,9,3 57,302
TRIO
2,3,9 4,616
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 6,506
QUARTET
2,9,3,4 350,197
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 29
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,14/2,3,9 1,193,177
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 1,614.5
1/9 142.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,14/1,6,14/Any Combination 7,424