Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 14:02
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. STOLTZ, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with CARROLL STREET second and RUN RUN COOL third. The 2.1 favourite WE ARE HERO finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STOLTZ CP 0.56.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CARROLL STREET SR-/B2/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WE ARE HERO V/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | WHIZZ KID B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SUNNY BOY B/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 5 | 94.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 30.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WE ARE HERO | 50.7% | 1.97 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | STOLTZ | 13.9% | 7.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY | 11.1% | 8.97 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL | 8.0% | 12.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 6.6% | 15.17 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | WHIZZ KID | 4.5% | 22.35 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | CARROLL STREET | 3.4% | 29.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | SUNNY BOY | 1.9% | 54.00 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 74.5
PLACE
4 23
6 30
7 16
QUINELLA
4,6 408.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 97
4,7 52
6,7 95.5
FORECAST
4,6 805
TIERCE
4,6,7 4,208
TRIO
4,6,7 700
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 138
QUARTET
4,6,7,5 7,076
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 56.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/4 433
7/6 110.5