Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 12:33
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER BONUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 3/4, with HOLY LAKE second and CHANCHENG GLORY third. The 2.8 favourite CHANCHENG GLORY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER BONUS B 1.10.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 9.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | HOLY LAKE XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | CHANCHENG GLORY XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY CP-/XB- H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 9 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SONIC BOOM L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPIHOOD B M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 8 | 71.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | GALLANT VALOUR K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 7.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | GREAT DAYS B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | E GLORY M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 50.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | DASHING SUCCESS TT1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 91.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 25.3% | 3.96 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 22.4% | 4.47 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | GALLANT VALOUR | 16.5% | 6.07 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER BONUS | 14.6% | 6.84 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | HOLY LAKE | 6.4% | 15.55 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | SONIC BOOM | 4.1% | 24.57 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | E GLORY | 2.4% | 41.85 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | GREAT DAYS | 1.2% | 81.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPIHOOD | 1.2% | 85.78 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | DASHING SUCCESS | 1.1% | 93.24 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 95.5
PLACE
1 13
5 23
7 36.5
QUINELLA
5,7 491.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 44.5
1,7 59.5
5,7 120
FORECAST
7,5 977
TIERCE
7,5,1 3,822
TRIO
1,5,7 418
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 539
QUARTET
7,5,1,6 19,856
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 40
A2 —
A1 —