沙田 · 2023-06-04 · 20:53
第 10場
2023-06-04沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的A PAL勝出，贏出2-1/4。HAPPY DAILY獲得亞軍；SILVER SONIC獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.1倍大熱門SEIZING THE MOMENT跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A PAL 後段發力 CP/TT 1.21.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | SILVER SONIC XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 14 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | E LEGEND 早段領放 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | WIDE BLUE YONDER 後段發力 B/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 13 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CHARITY BINGO 後段發力 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 95.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SEIZING THE MOMENT 後段發力 B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 5.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | IVY LEAGUE SR/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | QUANTUM PATCH 後段發力 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 43.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | HYPER DRAGON BALL TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 6 | 6.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | THESIS CP-/TT L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 10 | 52.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 18.5% | 5.40 | 9 |
| 2 | 9 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 11.5% | 8.73 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | A PAL | 10.6% | 9.40 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 10.1% | 9.95 | 13 |
| 5 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR | 9.6% | 10.38 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | E LEGEND | 9.1% | 10.97 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT | 7.3% | 13.63 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 6.8% | 14.62 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.1% | 16.29 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | SILVER SONIC | 3.7% | 26.75 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | QUANTUM PATCH | 2.8% | 36.33 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | THESIS | 1.8% | 55.39 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | CHARITY BINGO | 1.0% | 99.94 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | IVY LEAGUE | 1.0% | 101.09 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 60
PLACE
1 20.5
11 33
13 49.5
QUINELLA
1,11 320
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 115
1,13 186.5
11,13 217.5
FORECAST
1,11 663
TIERCE
1,11,13 8,546
TRIO
1,11,13 1,494
FIRST 4
1,8,11,13 3,772
QUARTET
1,11,13,8 79,207
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
12/9/1 1,276
12/9/11 345
3 PICK 1
A2 29
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,11/1,11,13 2,899,521
9TH DOUBLE
9/1 723.5
9/11 149
SIX UP
3/4/1/12/9/1 538,979
3,5/4,9/1,7/5,12/9,11/1,11 11,491
8 [L Hewitson] —
11 [K W Lui] —