沙田 · 2023-06-04 · 18:06
第 5場
2023-06-04沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的FLAMINGO TRILLION勝出，贏出3/4。PROUD DRAGON獲得亞軍；NATURAL GOLD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門LADY'S CHOICE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLAMINGO TRILLION 後段發力 1.21.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | PROUD DRAGON 後段發力 V/TT1 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD 早段領放 SR/XB B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | PROSECCO 後段發力 CP-/TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 8 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL 後段發力 B-/XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SPEED FAY FAY B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | JOY COMING CP1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | ONE HEART ONE 後段發力 CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | STURDY RUBY TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 4.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | CASA SACRED B1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 4 | 133.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CYBER PATCH 後段發力 B1/TT1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 7 | 94.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | LEATHER VANGUARD M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 6 | 59.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | FIRE BALL H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 37.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STURDY RUBY | 17.1% | 5.84 | 10 |
| 2 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE | 15.2% | 6.58 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | SPEED FAY FAY | 12.2% | 8.19 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 10.8% | 9.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | JOY COMING | 8.8% | 11.35 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL | 8.7% | 11.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | ONE HEART ONE | 6.9% | 14.45 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | PROUD DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.02 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD | 4.2% | 23.97 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | PROSECCO | 4.1% | 24.62 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | CYBER PATCH | 3.0% | 33.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 1.7% | 57.71 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | FIRE BALL | 1.1% | 87.07 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | CASA SACRED | 0.6% | 164.78 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 54.5
PLACE
3 21
5 65
9 73.5
QUINELLA
3,5 728
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 228.5
3,9 253.5
5,9 768
FORECAST
3,5 1,489
TIERCE
3,5,9 26,035
TRIO
3,5,9 5,256
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 14,381
QUARTET
3,5,9,1 263,239
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
3/9/3 2,236
3/9/5 1,367
3 PICK 1
A2 28.5
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 1,323.5
9/5 751.5