沙田 · 2023-06-04 · 18:37
第 6場
2023-06-04沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的GOLDEN EMPIRE勝出，贏出SH。HELIOS EXPRESS獲得亞軍；FLYING ACE獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門HELIOS EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE 1.08.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | HELIOS EXPRESS Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 3.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | FLYING ACE B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | WINNER METHOD B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 5 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | SELF IMPROVEMENT TT1 B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY GOLF C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | ACE ONE B/SR/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 65.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 63.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | STREET CONQUEROR H1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | FLYING DRAGON V/XB M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 11 | 62.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | MERCHANT PRINCE B/H/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 14 | 172.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | MIGHTY ARMOUR B1/H1/TT1 M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 6 | 92.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 9 | 35.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HAPPY GOLF | 26.0% | 3.85 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING ACE | 20.4% | 4.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 13.5% | 7.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | WINNER METHOD | 9.3% | 10.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | STREET CONQUEROR | 5.5% | 18.18 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | ACE ONE | 5.2% | 19.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 5.0% | 20.06 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | MIGHTY ARMOUR | 3.2% | 31.00 | 13 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 2.8% | 35.20 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 2.0% | 50.57 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 1.9% | 51.51 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 1.5% | 68.39 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 0.7% | 141.39 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 128.5
PLACE
2 18
4 32.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
4,9 223
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 115.5
2,9 35
4,9 78
FORECAST
4,9 862
TIERCE
4,9,2 4,330
TRIO
2,4,9 300
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 559
QUARTET
4,9,2,1 20,349
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 30.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/2,4,9 791,426
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 2,294
3/9 54.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,9,10/3,5,9/Any Combination 740,346