沙田 · 2023-06-04 · 20:19
第 9場
2023-06-04沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的STORM LEGEND勝出，贏出SH。BIG RED獲得亞軍；WINGS OF WAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門CHIU CHOW SPIRIT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | STORM LEGEND 後段發力 1.21.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 8.2 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | BIG RED 早段領放 C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 91.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bowman · A T Millard | H Bowman | A T Millard | 10 | 13.0 | N |
| 4 | 14 | ROMAN TURBO XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HOSS 後段發力 XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 6.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT CP/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 6 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB M Dee · J Size | M Dee | J Size | 2 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA 後段發力 B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER BABY CP H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 14 | 87.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CHARITY GRACE TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 60.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | VILLA FIONN B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 78.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SEASONS BLISS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 13 | 53.0 | 30-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER TEN H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HOSS | 36.2% | 2.76 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | STORM LEGEND | 10.7% | 9.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 9.8% | 10.18 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 8.2% | 12.14 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | ROMAN TURBO | 7.4% | 13.51 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | NOBLE WIN | 7.3% | 13.70 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 5.2% | 19.28 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | WINGS OF WAR | 4.8% | 20.88 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA | 2.2% | 45.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | SEASONS BLISS | 2.1% | 48.19 | 14 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER BABY | 1.9% | 52.74 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | CHARITY GRACE | 1.8% | 55.29 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | VILLA FIONN | 1.4% | 70.55 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | BIG RED | 1.0% | 105.03 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 82.5
PLACE
5 35.5
9 27
11 208.5
QUINELLA
9,11 4,909.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 189.5
5,11 1,706.5
9,11 1,411.5
FORECAST
9,11 8,002
TIERCE
9,11,5 87,474
TRIO
5,9,11 21,777
FIRST 4
5,9,11,14 20,506
QUARTET
9,11,5,14 444,613
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 24
A1 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
12/9 224
12/11 214.5