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Sha Tin · 2023-06-04 · 20:19

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STORM LEGEND Closed strongly 1.21.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 3 8.2 SH
2 0 BIG RED Led early C Wong · C W Chang 5 91.0 SH
3 0 WINGS OF WAR B H Bowman · A T Millard 10 13.0 N
4 0 ROMAN TURBO XB B Avdulla · D J Hall 1 7.6 1-3/4
5 0 HOSS Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards 11 6.3 2-1/2
7 0 NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB M Dee · J Size 2 7.2 4
8 0 BON'S A PEARLA Closed strongly B K Teetan · P C Ng 7 14.0 4-1/4
9 0 SUPER BABY CP H T Mo · P F Yiu 14 87.0 4-1/4
10 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 7.8 6-1/4
11 0 CHARITY GRACE TT M F Poon · C S Shum 4 60.0 6-3/4
12 0 MIDORI BEAUTY TT C Y Ho · W Y So 12 11.0 9-3/4
13 0 VILLA FIONN B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 8 78.0 10-3/4
14 0 SEASONS BLISS M L Yeung · K H Ting 13 53.0 30-1/4
— 0 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT CP/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung — 4.2 3
— 0 SUPER TEN H Bentley · D J Whyte — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-04 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STORM LEGEND, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with BIG RED second and WINGS OF WAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite CHIU CHOW SPIRIT did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORM LEGEND—2. BIG RED+0.1L3. WINGS OF WAR+0.05L4. ROMAN TURBO+1.75L5. HOSS+2.5L7. NOBLE WIN+4L8. BON'S A PEARLA+4.25L9. SUPER BABY+4.25L10. CALIFORNIA VOCE+6.25L11. CHARITY GRACE+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HOSS (36.2%) finished 5th — the winner STORM LEGEND was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HOSS 36.2% 2.76 5
2 0 STORM LEGEND 10.7% 9.35 1
3 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE 9.8% 10.18 10
4 0 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 8.2% 12.14 —
5 0 ROMAN TURBO 7.4% 13.51 4
6 0 NOBLE WIN 7.3% 13.70 7
7 0 MIDORI BEAUTY 5.2% 19.28 12
8 0 WINGS OF WAR 4.8% 20.88 3
9 0 BON'S A PEARLA 2.2% 45.81 8
10 0 SEASONS BLISS 2.1% 48.19 14
11 0 SUPER BABY 1.9% 52.74 9
12 0 CHARITY GRACE 1.8% 55.29 11
13 0 VILLA FIONN 1.4% 70.55 13
14 0 BIG RED 1.0% 105.03 2
HOSSSTORM LEGEND — wonCALIFORNIA VOCECHIU CHOW SPIRITROMAN TURBONOBLE WINMIDORI BEAUTYWINGS OF WARBON'S A PEARLASEASONS BLISSSUPER BABYCHARITY GRACEVILLA FIONNBIG RED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 82.5

PLACE

5 35.5

9 27

11 208.5

QUINELLA

9,11 4,909.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,9 189.5

5,11 1,706.5

9,11 1,411.5

FORECAST

9,11 8,002

TIERCE

9,11,5 87,474

TRIO

5,9,11 21,777

FIRST 4

5,9,11,14 20,506

QUARTET

9,11,5,14 444,613

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 24

A2 —

A1 —

8TH DOUBLE

12/9 224

12/11 214.5