Sha Tin · 2023-06-04 · 17:03
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly 1.33.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 1.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BELUGA Led early H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B2/TT M Dee · C S Shum | M Dee | C S Shum | 6 | 32.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | — | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-04 was Group 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY ETERNAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with CIRCUIT STELLAR second and FANTASTIC TREASURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 60.6% | 1.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 15.9% | 6.29 | — |
| 3 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 10.0% | 9.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 7.4% | 13.59 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BELUGA | 4.3% | 23.22 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 1.9% | 54.02 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 14.5
PLACE
3 12
4 22
QUINELLA
3,4 31.5
FORECAST
3,4 50
TIERCE
3,4,1 126
TRIO
1,3,4 37
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 28
QUARTET
3,4,1,6 275
2ND DOUBLE
11/3 230.5
11/4 176.5