Sha Tin · 2023-06-04 · 16:02
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-04 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GO GO SIXTEEN, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with DARCI JOY second and STRONGEST BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite HAPPY DAY finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 10 | 9.4 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | HD |
| 4 | 4 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 13 | 9.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | BRILLIANT PIONEER Led early H/TT1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 127.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 7.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | BROTHER PEARL B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 8 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BRAVE AND BOLD C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY DAY Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 3.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY HERO B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 93.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER BUDDY B/TT1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | WIN WIN B M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 9 | 32.0 | 20 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY DAY | 27.5% | 3.64 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | NORTHERN BEAST | 12.6% | 7.92 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | STRONGEST BOY | 11.8% | 8.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS | 9.0% | 11.05 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | DARCI JOY | 7.5% | 13.35 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | BROTHER PEARL | 6.5% | 15.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | BRAVE AND BOLD | 5.0% | 20.19 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | WIN WIN | 4.6% | 21.78 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER BUDDY | 4.1% | 24.32 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | HAPPY HERO | 3.8% | 26.29 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 3.6% | 28.04 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 2.2% | 45.95 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 1.9% | 53.99 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 94.5
PLACE
1 18.5
6 30.5
9 28.5
QUINELLA
1,6 298.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 97.5
1,9 81
6,9 153.5
FORECAST
6,1 740
TIERCE
6,1,9 5,625
TRIO
1,6,9 734
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 1,700
QUARTET
6,1,9,4 45,694
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 28.5