Sha Tin · 2023-06-04 · 18:06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Closed strongly 1.21.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT1 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD Led early SR/XB B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PROSECCO Closed strongly CP-/TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN BULL Closed strongly B-/XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY COMING CP1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | CASA SACRED B1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 4 | 133.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CYBER PATCH Closed strongly B1/TT1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 7 | 94.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 6 | 59.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | FIRE BALL H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 37.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | — | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| — | 0 | STURDY RUBY TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | — | 4.8 | 3-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-04 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLAMINGO TRILLION, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with PROUD DRAGON second and NATURAL GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite LADY'S CHOICE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STURDY RUBY | 17.1% | 5.84 | — |
| 2 | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE | 15.2% | 6.58 | — |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 12.2% | 8.19 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 10.8% | 9.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | JOY COMING | 8.8% | 11.35 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN BULL | 8.7% | 11.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE | 6.9% | 14.45 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.02 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD | 4.2% | 23.97 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | PROSECCO | 4.1% | 24.62 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CYBER PATCH | 3.0% | 33.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 1.7% | 57.71 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 1.1% | 87.07 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | CASA SACRED | 0.6% | 164.78 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 54.5
PLACE
3 21
5 65
9 73.5
QUINELLA
3,5 728
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 228.5
3,9 253.5
5,9 768
FORECAST
3,5 1,489
TIERCE
3,5,9 26,035
TRIO
3,5,9 5,256
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 14,381
QUARTET
3,5,9,1 263,239
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/9/3 2,236
3/9/5 1,367
3 PICK 1
A2 28.5
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 1,323.5
9/5 751.5