Sha Tin · 2023-06-04 · 19:43
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-04 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. YOUTHFUL DEAL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with CHANCHENG PRINCE second and SUPER WIN DRAGON third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT 1.08.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 6 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | ADIOS TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH B-/V1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 39.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | KA YING MASTER TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 2 | 21.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | GOKO WIN B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 18.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 11.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ASTROLOGER SR M Dee · P C Ng | M Dee | P C Ng | 10 | 84.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 7 | 44.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 26.3% | 3.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 12.8% | 7.82 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | ADIOS | 9.9% | 10.12 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR | 9.8% | 10.16 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 7.2% | 13.92 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | GOKO WIN | 7.0% | 14.33 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH | 4.7% | 21.05 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | ASTROLOGER | 4.0% | 25.01 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 3.9% | 25.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | CAMPIONE | 3.4% | 29.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | KA YING MASTER | 3.4% | 29.75 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 17.5
PLACE
5 35.5
10 28
12 10.5
QUINELLA
5,12 99.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 159
5,12 43.5
10,12 39.5
FORECAST
12,5 164
TIERCE
12,5,10 984
TRIO
5,10,12 248
FIRST 4
5,8,10,12 248
QUARTET
12,5,10,8 3,510
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,7/5,10,12 2,097
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 40
1/12 28