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Sha Tin · 2023-06-04 · 16:31

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT 1.09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 7 15.0 NOSE
2 0 ELON P-/E/PC1 K Teetan · J Size 12 8.2 NOSE
3 0 MIRACULOUS HONOUR SB-/H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 6 40.0 N
5 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 10 5.8 2
6 0 DINKUM CP/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui 2 10.0 2-1/2
7 0 SUPER EAGLE XB-/TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So 11 35.0 4-1/4
8 0 MEGA BONUS V Z Purton · P F Yiu 3 3.8 5
9 0 LUCKY FUN M Dee · L Ho 9 39.0 5
10 0 THE MULTIPLIER B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 5 13.0 5-1/2
11 0 CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz 1 31.0 6-3/4
12 0 MAGIC SUPREME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 8 5.5 7
— 0 COOL BLUE TT K C Leung · F C Lor — 7.7 3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. COLOURFUL PRINCE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with ELON second and MIRACULOUS HONOUR third. The 3.8 favourite MEGA BONUS finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COLOURFUL PRINCE—2. ELON+0.05L3. MIRACULOUS HONOUR+0.05L5. IMPERIAL MAGEE+2L6. DINKUM+2.5L7. SUPER EAGLE+4.25L8. MEGA BONUS+5L9. LUCKY FUN+5L10. THE MULTIPLIER+5.5L11. CALIFORNIA VANES+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick MEGA BONUS (19.1%) finished 8th — the winner COLOURFUL PRINCE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MEGA BONUS 19.1% 5.23 8
2 0 COOL BLUE 16.3% 6.15 —
3 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE 10.0% 10.01 5
4 0 THE MULTIPLIER 9.6% 10.44 10
5 0 CALIFORNIA VANES 8.1% 12.33 11
6 0 MAGIC SUPREME 7.3% 13.66 12
7 0 COLOURFUL PRINCE 6.3% 15.87 1
8 0 SUPER EAGLE 6.2% 16.19 7
9 0 ELON 5.2% 19.33 2
10 0 DINKUM 5.0% 20.16 6
11 0 MIRACULOUS HONOUR 4.3% 23.25 3
12 0 LUCKY FUN 2.7% 36.92 9
MEGA BONUSCOOL BLUEIMPERIAL MAGEETHE MULTIPLIERCALIFORNIA VANESMAGIC SUPREMECOLOURFUL PRINCE — wonSUPER EAGLEELONDINKUMMIRACULOUS HONOURLUCKY FUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 151.5

PLACE

3 25

11 43

12 90

QUINELLA

3,11 692

QUINELLA PLACE

3,11 217

3,12 424.5

11,12 571

FORECAST

11,3 1,364

TIERCE

11,3,12 41,632

TRIO

3,11,12 6,187

FIRST 4

3,7,11,12 7,871

QUARTET

11,3,12,7 265,426

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/3 352

6/11 2,749.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,6,9/3,11,12 1,362,203

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 29