Sha Tin · 2023-06-04 · 16:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. COLOURFUL PRINCE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with ELON second and MIRACULOUS HONOUR third. The 3.8 favourite MEGA BONUS finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT 1.09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | ELON P-/E/PC1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 8.2 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR SB-/H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 40.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | COOL BLUE TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | DINKUM CP/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE XB-/TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | MEGA BONUS V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | LUCKY FUN M Dee · L Ho | M Dee | L Ho | 9 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 1 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 5.5 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MEGA BONUS | 19.1% | 5.23 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | COOL BLUE | 16.3% | 6.15 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 10.0% | 10.01 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | THE MULTIPLIER | 9.6% | 10.44 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 8.1% | 12.33 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME | 7.3% | 13.66 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 6.3% | 15.87 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE | 6.2% | 16.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | ELON | 5.2% | 19.33 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | DINKUM | 5.0% | 20.16 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR | 4.3% | 23.25 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | LUCKY FUN | 2.7% | 36.92 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 151.5
PLACE
3 25
11 43
12 90
QUINELLA
3,11 692
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 217
3,12 424.5
11,12 571
FORECAST
11,3 1,364
TIERCE
11,3,12 41,632
TRIO
3,11,12 6,187
FIRST 4
3,7,11,12 7,871
QUARTET
11,3,12,7 265,426
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/3 352
6/11 2,749.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/3,11,12 1,362,203
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 29