沙田 · 2023-06-18 · 20:43
第 10場
2023-06-18沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的FLYING ACE勝出，贏出2-3/4。ACE ONE獲得亞軍；NORTHERN BEACHES獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING ACE B 1.09.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ACE ONE B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | NORTHERN BEACHES M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | ALLGREEKTOME TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS V1/TT M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 9 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 8.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | WINNER METHOD B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | THE EQUALIZER TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 76.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 60.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | REVE PARISIEN M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 31.0 | 31-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING ACE | 25.1% | 3.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ALLGREEKTOME | 18.2% | 5.51 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 12.5% | 8.02 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 9.8% | 10.19 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | WINNER METHOD | 7.2% | 13.95 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | ACE ONE | 6.2% | 16.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 5.1% | 19.42 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 4.7% | 21.19 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 4.7% | 21.21 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | REVE PARISIEN | 3.6% | 28.10 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS | 2.1% | 47.85 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | THE EQUALIZER | 0.8% | 122.87 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 35
PLACE
2 16.5
5 33
10 19
QUINELLA
2,5 188.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 69.5
2,10 44
5,10 109
FORECAST
2,5 319
TIERCE
2,5,10 1,788
TRIO
2,5,10 385
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 890
QUARTET
2,5,10,7 16,543
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A2 —
A3 —
9TH DOUBLE
2/2 55
2/5 41