沙田 · 2023-06-18 · 21:23
第 11場
2023-06-18沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、K L Man訓練的FIND MY LOVE勝出，贏出1-1/4。SETANTA獲得亞軍；NOBLE WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門BEAUTY INSPIRE跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE 後段發力 H/TT 1.21.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SETANTA 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 2 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.2 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | KILINDINI 後段發力 TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 14 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY 早段領放 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SHINING GEM 後段發力 B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GOOD BUDDY CP1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 8.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | BEAUTY INSPIRE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 3.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | PODIUM XB M Dee · K W Lui | M Dee | K W Lui | 4 | 64.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | THE ROCK C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 85.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | CAPTAIN WIN XB-/B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 5 | 6.5 | 14 |
| — | 0 | MERCHANT PRINCE L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 3 | CHARITY GRACE M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY INSPIRE | 32.2% | 3.11 | 10 |
| 2 | 13 | SETANTA | 11.4% | 8.80 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION | 7.7% | 12.93 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | NOBLE WIN | 6.7% | 14.86 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD BUDDY | 6.5% | 15.30 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | CAPTAIN WIN | 6.5% | 15.39 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | SHINING GEM | 6.2% | 16.12 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 5.0% | 19.84 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE | 4.7% | 21.33 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY | 4.1% | 24.21 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | PODIUM | 3.5% | 28.41 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | THE ROCK | 2.7% | 36.58 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | KILINDINI | 2.7% | 37.49 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 97.5
PLACE
1 30
12 58.5
13 36
QUINELLA
1,13 650
QUINELLA PLACE
1,12 292
1,13 187.5
12,13 357.5
FORECAST
1,13 1,157
TIERCE
1,13,12 15,776
TRIO
1,12,13 3,452
FIRST 4
1,10,12,13 5,998
QUARTET
1,13,12,10 152,208
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
2/1 475
2/13 111.5
2ND TREBLE
2/2/1 577
2/2/13 169
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 24
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,10/1,12,13 189,528
SIX UP
9,11/2,7/4,7/2,9/2,5/1,13 3,361
11/7/4/2/2/1 1,705,997
3 [D J Hall] —
1 [Z Purton] —