沙田 · 2023-06-18 · 18:01
第 5場
2023-06-18沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、F C Lor訓練的LOOKING COOL勝出，贏出1-3/4。FLYING MOJITO獲得亞軍；PROSECCO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門FLYING MOJITO跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LOOKING COOL 後段發力 CP 1.35.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO 早段領放 B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | PROSECCO 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GOLD TACK CP A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 9 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | PRINCE ALEX 後段發力 E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MASTER OF FORTUNE 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 6 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY CP C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | ASIAN ONE 後段發力 V/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 8 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER 後段發力 B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 140.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY B/TT1 M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 14 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | FASTPASS B/XB1 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 5 | 156.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | BULB PRINCE H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 50.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | SUPER OASIS 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 91.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | FOREST GOLD TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 3 | 189.0 | 19-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO | 19.4% | 5.16 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 14.9% | 6.70 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | BULB PRINCE | 8.9% | 11.29 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | PRINCE ALEX | 8.8% | 11.32 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | LOOKING COOL | 8.8% | 11.41 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLD TACK | 8.4% | 11.89 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY | 7.7% | 13.00 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 6.4% | 15.50 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | ASIAN ONE | 6.3% | 15.83 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | PROSECCO | 5.8% | 17.25 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER OASIS | 2.3% | 42.95 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER | 0.9% | 113.18 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | FOREST GOLD | 0.8% | 131.45 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | FASTPASS | 0.6% | 167.00 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 66
PLACE
2 15
8 23.5
14 30.5
QUINELLA
2,8 125
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 51
2,14 68.5
8,14 143.5
FORECAST
8,2 410
TIERCE
8,2,14 2,842
TRIO
2,8,14 422
FIRST 4
2,6,8,14 1,575
QUARTET
8,2,14,6 30,850
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
11/6/2 186
11/6/8 4,596
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/2,8,14 105,394
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26.5
4TH DOUBLE
6/2 11.5
6/8 233