Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-06-18 · 18:01

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP 1.35.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor 2 6.6 1-3/4
2 0 FLYING MOJITO Led early B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 7 2.8 1-3/4
3 0 PROSECCO Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 10 11.0 2-1/4
4 0 GOLD TACK CP A Badel · A T Millard 9 14.0 2-1/4
6 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 6 6.3 2-3/4
7 0 LUCKY ETERNITY CP C L Chau · T P Yung 4 11.0 3-1/2
8 0 ASIAN ONE Closed strongly V/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 8 25.0 4
9 0 DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size 13 140.0 4-3/4
10 0 STRONGEST BOY B/TT1 M Dee · D A Hayes 14 21.0 7
11 0 FASTPASS B/XB1 H T Mo · K W Lui 5 156.0 7-3/4
12 0 BULB PRINCE H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 11 50.0 8-1/4
13 0 SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 12 91.0 10-1/2
14 0 FOREST GOLD TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 3 189.0 19-1/2
— 0 PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly E C W Wong · D J Whyte — 6.1 2-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-18 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LOOKING COOL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with FLYING MOJITO second and PROSECCO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite FLYING MOJITO finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LOOKING COOL—2. FLYING MOJITO+1.75L3. PROSECCO+2.25L4. GOLD TACK+2.25L6. MASTER OF FORTUNE+2.75L7. LUCKY ETERNITY+3.5L8. ASIAN ONE+4L9. DIAMOND WINNER+4.75L10. STRONGEST BOY+7L11. FASTPASS+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FLYING MOJITO (19.4%) finished 2nd — the winner LOOKING COOL was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FLYING MOJITO 19.4% 5.16 2
2 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE 14.9% 6.70 6
3 0 BULB PRINCE 8.9% 11.29 12
4 0 PRINCE ALEX 8.8% 11.32 —
5 0 LOOKING COOL 8.8% 11.41 1
6 0 GOLD TACK 8.4% 11.89 4
7 0 STRONGEST BOY 7.7% 13.00 10
8 0 LUCKY ETERNITY 6.4% 15.50 7
9 0 ASIAN ONE 6.3% 15.83 8
10 0 PROSECCO 5.8% 17.25 3
11 0 SUPER OASIS 2.3% 42.95 13
12 0 DIAMOND WINNER 0.9% 113.18 9
13 0 FOREST GOLD 0.8% 131.45 14
14 0 FASTPASS 0.6% 167.00 11
FLYING MOJITOMASTER OF FORTUNEBULB PRINCEPRINCE ALEXLOOKING COOL — wonGOLD TACKSTRONGEST BOYLUCKY ETERNITYASIAN ONEPROSECCOSUPER OASISDIAMOND WINNERFOREST GOLDFASTPASS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 66

PLACE

2 15

8 23.5

14 30.5

QUINELLA

2,8 125

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 51

2,14 68.5

8,14 143.5

FORECAST

8,2 410

TIERCE

8,2,14 2,842

TRIO

2,8,14 422

FIRST 4

2,6,8,14 1,575

QUARTET

8,2,14,6 30,850

All pools (4 more)

1ST TREBLE

11/6/2 186

11/6/8 4,596

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,6/2,8,14 105,394

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 26.5

4TH DOUBLE

6/2 11.5

6/8 233