Sha Tin · 2023-06-18 · 18:33
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT Closed strongly B 1.47.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Dee · C H Yip | M Dee | C H Yip | 4 | 6.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SWAN BAY Closed strongly B L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 2 | 25.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 11 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CASA COSMO Closed strongly XB/CP1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 10 | 52.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly CP-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CELTIC TIMES Led early B/XB/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 8.6 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 6.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 13 | 36.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 35.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 8.8 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPERBELLA B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 65.0 | 18 |
| — | 0 | PERFECT TEAM TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | — | 9.2 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-18 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG BRILLIANT, ridden by M Dee and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with SWAN BAY second and UNIVERSAL HORIZON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite UNIVERSAL HORIZON finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 21.5% | 4.65 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 19.2% | 5.21 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH | 10.9% | 9.15 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT TEAM | 10.4% | 9.65 | — |
| 5 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CELTIC TIMES | 6.1% | 16.50 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT | 4.3% | 23.51 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | ABOVE | 3.8% | 26.43 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 3.3% | 30.25 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE | 2.6% | 37.92 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 2.4% | 41.73 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | SWAN BAY | 2.0% | 49.74 | 2 |
| 13 | 0 | CASA COSMO | 1.9% | 51.88 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 1.5% | 64.80 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 69.5
PLACE
5 14.5
9 60
11 21
QUINELLA
9,11 817
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 134.5
5,11 49.5
9,11 225
FORECAST
11,9 1,136
TIERCE
11,9,5 5,724
TRIO
5,9,11 980
FIRST 4
3,5,9,11 5,940
QUARTET
11,9,5,3 128,038
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/9 413.5
8/11 836.5