Sha Tin · 2023-06-18 · 16:01

Race 1

Griffin GOOD TO YIELDING 1000m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-18 was Griffin over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. KA YING VICTORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with RUBY SAILING second and CHANCHENG GLORY third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.55.91

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	7	KA YING VICTORY 0.55.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall	Z Purton	D J Hall	1	121 lb	1.6	3/4
2	8	RUBY SAILING B Avdulla · K L Man	B Avdulla	K L Man	7	121 lb	12.0	3/4
3	1	CHANCHENG GLORY XB L Hewitson · K W Lui	L Hewitson	K W Lui	2	133 lb	8.2	5
4	9	SONIC BOOM L Ferraris · K H Ting	L Ferraris	K H Ting	5	121 lb	14.0	6-1/2
5	6	GALLANT VALOUR K Teetan · A T Millard	K Teetan	A T Millard	8	121 lb	12.0	7-3/4
6	2	KAHOLO ANGEL B1/H1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes	C Y Ho	C Fownes	10	133 lb	5.4	9-3/4
7	5	FLYING SHELBY M Dee · P F Yiu	M Dee	P F Yiu	6	121 lb	49.0	12
8	10	TELECOM DRAGON C L Chau · C H Yip	C L Chau	C H Yip	3	120 lb	59.0	13-3/4
9	3	BOOMBAYAH H1 M F Poon · C W Chang	M F Poon	C W Chang	4	119 lb	62.0	16-3/4
10	4	DASHING SUCCESS TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui	M L Yeung	Y S Tsui	9	121 lb	86.0	31

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23

The model's top pick CHANCHENG GLORY (26.8%) finished 3rd — the winner KA YING VICTORY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	1	CHANCHENG GLORY	26.8%	3.72	3	8.2
2	7	KA YING VICTORY	25.7%	3.89	1	1.6
3	2	KAHOLO ANGEL	15.9%	6.28	6	5.4
4	9	SONIC BOOM	9.9%	10.13	4	14.0
5	6	GALLANT VALOUR	6.9%	14.55	5	12.0
6	10	TELECOM DRAGON	3.9%	25.80	8	59.0
7	3	BOOMBAYAH	3.5%	28.29	9	62.0
8	5	FLYING SHELBY	3.5%	28.79	7	49.0
9	8	RUBY SAILING	3.0%	33.70	2	12.0
10	4	DASHING SUCCESS	0.9%	111.13	10	86.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 16.5

PLACE

1 18.5

7 11

8 27

QUINELLA

7,8 92.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 26

1,8 99.5

7,8 35.5

FORECAST

7,8 117

TIERCE

7,8,1 575

TRIO

1,7,8 193

FIRST 4

1,7,8,9 228

QUARTET

7,8,1,9 2,369

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 12.5

Race 2 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1000m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99