Sha Tin · 2023-06-18 · 19:07
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB 1.21.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 3.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENT GLORY Led early K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 12 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 9 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN CP/H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 8.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B1/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 45.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON V/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HERCULES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 156.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DELAGO PATROL B1 B Avdulla · R Gibson | B Avdulla | R Gibson | 2 | 119.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | CASA SACRED B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 10 | 244.0 | 22-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 13 | 70.0 | 23-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-18 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YELLOWFIN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 3-1/2, with SIMPLE HEDGE second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite SIMPLE HEDGE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 29.0% | 3.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | YELLOWFIN | 13.9% | 7.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 9.7% | 10.32 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN | 8.8% | 11.40 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | LOST CHILD | 8.7% | 11.50 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHILLI BABA | 5.2% | 19.12 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 5.1% | 19.75 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 4.3% | 23.23 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | REGENT GLORY | 4.3% | 23.50 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 3.2% | 31.00 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | HERCULES | 2.7% | 37.58 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 2.7% | 37.72 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | DELAGO PATROL | 1.9% | 52.01 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | CASA SACRED | 0.6% | 159.42 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 32
PLACE
2 16
6 35
7 14
QUINELLA
2,7 58.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 86
2,7 27.5
6,7 76.5
FORECAST
7,2 157
TIERCE
7,2,6 1,279
TRIO
2,6,7 298
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 500
QUARTET
7,2,6,4 10,973
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,11/2,6,7 18,113
6TH DOUBLE
11/2 29.5
11/7 236
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,14/5,9,11/2,6,7 1,452,482
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,14/5,9,11/Any Combination 20,318