Sha Tin · 2023-06-18 · 17:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING BOLE 1.09.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 1.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 40.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | AWESOME TREASURE H/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE BOYZ B/TT M Dee · K L Man | M Dee | K L Man | 12 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 5 | 7.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR CLUB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 9 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HUGE WIN SR M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 66.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGIC TRAVELLER P/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 7 | 189.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | EASY TWO TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 161.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FAT CAT PC K H Chan · L Ho | K H Chan | L Ho | 4 | 16.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 0 | DAN ATTACK H/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | — | 29.0 | 20-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PACKING BOLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with GOLDEN SAMURAI second and CALIFORNIA VANES third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 22.3% | 4.48 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING BOLE | 20.7% | 4.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | AWESOME TREASURE | 6.9% | 14.56 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 6.0% | 16.57 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR CLUB | 6.0% | 16.74 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | NOBLE BOYZ | 5.2% | 19.07 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | DAN ATTACK | 4.7% | 21.09 | — |
| 9 | 0 | HUGE WIN | 3.0% | 33.56 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 2.7% | 36.50 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 1.8% | 54.49 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | EASY TWO | 0.8% | 120.95 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 17
PLACE
3 74
4 17
6 10.5
QUINELLA
4,6 46
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 223
3,6 124
4,6 21.5
FORECAST
6,4 94
TIERCE
6,4,3 1,277
TRIO
3,4,6 341
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 729
QUARTET
6,4,3,1 9,279
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/4 142
11/6 422