Sha Tin · 2023-06-18 · 19:36
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAUVESTRE Closed strongly TT 1.21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 22.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 2.3 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY H- K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 49.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 7 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ERIMO PC-/B2 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 5.1 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 59.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-18 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SAUVESTRE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with FLAMING RABBIT second and AMAZING VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite FLAMING RABBIT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ERIMO | 20.4% | 4.90 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 16.3% | 6.12 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 13.5% | 7.43 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 12.0% | 8.35 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT | 10.5% | 9.53 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 7.6% | 13.10 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SAUVESTRE | 6.6% | 15.12 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.6% | 18.00 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 4.6% | 21.78 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART | 2.9% | 34.31 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 223.5
PLACE
4 31.5
7 14
9 16
QUINELLA
4,7 200
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 77
4,9 112.5
7,9 24.5
FORECAST
4,7 700
TIERCE
4,7,9 3,038
TRIO
4,7,9 322
FIRST 4
1,4,7,9 688
QUARTET
4,7,9,1 23,804
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 60
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,052
7/7 15.5