Sha Tin · 2023-06-18 · 20:08
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. GUMMY GUMMY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with SELF IMPROVEMENT second and MARK THE MOMENT third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY B 1.08.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 1.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | SELF IMPROVEMENT TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 8 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 1 | 4.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | ELON E/PC A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | MAN STAR V A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 24.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B-/PC2 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 3 | 132.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 24.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 37.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | BEAR SLAM B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 58.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY | 37.3% | 2.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MARK THE MOMENT | 11.4% | 8.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 8.2% | 12.20 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 7.6% | 13.21 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | SUGAR SUGAR | 7.4% | 13.60 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 6.5% | 15.41 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.6% | 17.97 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | MAN STAR | 4.9% | 20.29 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.6% | 27.73 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | ELON | 3.6% | 27.77 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | SUNNY BOY | 2.7% | 36.91 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | BEAR SLAM | 1.2% | 81.03 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 18.5
PLACE
2 13.5
3 15
9 35.5
QUINELLA
2,9 122.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 20
2,9 51
3,9 81.5
FORECAST
2,9 210
TIERCE
2,9,3 583
TRIO
2,3,9 119
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 437
QUARTET
2,9,3,10 5,171
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,9/2,3,9 4,045
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 748.5
4/9 601.5