沙田 · 2023-06-18 · 17:01
第 3場
2023-06-18沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C L Chau策騎、C W Chang訓練的COMMANDING MISSILE勝出，贏出N。SUPER HIGHWAY獲得亞軍；KING OF THE COURT獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SUNLIGHT POWER跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE H/B2 1.09.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 10 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 9 | KING OF THE COURT B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.6 | N |
| 4 | 6 | GO HERO K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | HO HO STAR A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 64.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | GO GO GO H/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 7 | 88.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY FUN K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 9 | 54.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | NOBLE ONE B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 8.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 8.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 12 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SUNLIGHT POWER Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 8 | 3.1 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT B M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 3 | 32.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FORTUNE WARRIOR · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | THE FINAL WORD H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 20.2% | 4.94 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | NOBLE ONE | 10.3% | 9.72 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | PINS PRINCE | 6.8% | 14.80 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | GO HERO | 6.6% | 15.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | KING OF THE COURT | 6.3% | 15.96 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER | 5.9% | 16.82 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 5.7% | 17.68 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT | 4.6% | 21.80 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | HO HO STAR | 4.2% | 23.67 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | LUCKY FUN | 1.9% | 51.70 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | GO GO GO | 1.0% | 105.14 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 128.5
PLACE
1 16
9 19
11 31.5
QUINELLA
1,11 269
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 57.5
1,11 83
9,11 127.5
FORECAST
11,1 717
TIERCE
11,1,9 4,168
TRIO
1,9,11 655
FIRST 4
1,6,9,11 1,686
QUARTET
11,1,9,6 49,515
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/1,9,11 39,419
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 23.5
5/11 560.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 42.5
A2 —