沙田 · 2023-07-09 · 18:33
第 6場
2023-07-09沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的SWEET BRIAR勝出，贏出HD。RAGING BLIZZARD獲得亞軍；HAPPY SOUL獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT 1.09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 2.2 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | RAGING BLIZZARD Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 6.3 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 2 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER WINNER TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 8.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | GOOD BOY B/H/TT1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 9 | 30.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | MAGIC TRAVELLER P/TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 3 | 120.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | JOY FOR YOU H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 83.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | CAPE BRETON H1/XB1/SR2/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SOARING PENGSHAN B-/H1/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 11 | 80.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 21.4% | 4.67 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 19.2% | 5.20 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SWEET BRIAR | 16.6% | 6.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL | 11.1% | 9.03 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 8.3% | 12.00 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | GOOD BOY | 8.0% | 12.46 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER WINNER | 6.5% | 15.48 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | CAPE BRETON | 2.7% | 36.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 1.7% | 57.24 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | SOARING PENGSHAN | 1.7% | 57.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL | 1.4% | 72.03 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | JOY FOR YOU | 1.3% | 79.18 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 22.5
PLACE
2 13
4 24.5
6 23
QUINELLA
2,6 85.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 54
2,6 35.5
4,6 86.5
FORECAST
2,6 125
TIERCE
2,6,4 709
TRIO
2,4,6 200
FIRST 4
2,4,6,11 348
QUARTET
2,6,4,11 4,148
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/2 520
8/6 162.5