沙田 · 2023-07-09 · 19:07
第 7場
2023-07-09沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的GOLDEN SAMURAI勝出，贏出1/2。NATURAL GOLD獲得亞軍；IMPERIAL MAGEE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN SAMURAI 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | IMPERIAL MAGEE 後段發力 SR/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 37.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | LOST CHILD 後段發力 B1 H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 8 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 1 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | SMART LEADER 後段發力 B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SO AWESOME B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | ONE HEART ONE CP-/B1/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 110.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | JAZZ CLUB 早段領放 K H Chan · L Ho | K H Chan | L Ho | 14 | 96.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | PROUD DRAGON 後段發力 V/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 7 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ART LITE 後段發力 CP/H1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 12 | 170.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | HO HO STAR Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 11 |
| — | 3 | GANG OF BROTHERS K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 22.2% | 4.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | HO HO STAR | 18.8% | 5.32 | 13 |
| 3 | 1 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 9.6% | 10.39 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD | 9.5% | 10.50 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | LOST CHILD | 9.3% | 10.76 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 7.4% | 13.56 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SO AWESOME | 5.6% | 17.79 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | ONE HEART ONE | 5.6% | 17.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 13 | SMART LEADER | 4.4% | 22.80 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | PROUD DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.17 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 2.2% | 46.31 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | JAZZ CLUB | 1.4% | 71.45 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | ART LITE | 0.8% | 129.62 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 31.5
PLACE
1 63
4 16
9 15.5
QUINELLA
4,9 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 181.5
1,9 210
4,9 41
FORECAST
4,9 144
TIERCE
4,9,1 2,819
TRIO
1,4,9 866
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 812
QUARTET
4,9,1,6 12,652
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 25
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/1>3,4,9 8,375
6TH DOUBLE
2/3,4 53
2/9 28
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,8/2,4,6/1>3,4,9 7,985,725
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,8/2,4,6/Any Combination 9,989