沙田 · 2023-07-09 · 20:09
第 9場
2023-07-09沙田第9場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的FLYING MOJITO勝出，贏出1。LUCKY ETERNITY獲得亞軍；WAR WEAPON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO 後段發力 B/XB 1.34.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY ETERNITY 後段發力 CP B Avdulla · T P Yung | B Avdulla | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | WAR WEAPON 後段發力 XB/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 3 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | CELTIC TIMES 後段發力 B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LOOKING COOL CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | PRINCE ALEX 後段發力 XB1/TT1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CHILLI BABA B M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 50.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | BROTHER PEARL 後段發力 B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 86.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | COPARTNER PUDONG 早段領放 B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 1 | 75.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | PODIUM XB H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 2 | 69.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 31.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO | 31.9% | 3.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PRINCE ALEX | 9.7% | 10.28 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | LOOKING COOL | 9.2% | 10.85 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | WAR WEAPON | 8.1% | 12.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 8.1% | 12.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 4.9% | 20.47 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE | 4.6% | 21.54 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | CHILLI BABA | 4.6% | 21.54 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | TURIN WARRIOR | 4.6% | 21.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | CELTIC TIMES | 4.4% | 22.56 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | BROTHER PEARL | 3.7% | 26.94 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 3.5% | 28.63 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | COPARTNER PUDONG | 1.3% | 78.66 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | PODIUM | 1.3% | 78.79 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 28
PLACE
2 20
3 15
11 32
QUINELLA
3,11 142.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 36.5
2,11 117
3,11 62
FORECAST
3,11 236
TIERCE
3,11,2 1,054
TRIO
2,3,11 313
FIRST 4
2,3,11,14 414
QUARTET
3,11,2,14 5,609
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/2,3,11 4,492
8TH DOUBLE
10/3 64
10/11 49.5