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Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 20:09

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly B/XB 1.34.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 5 2.8 1
2 0 LUCKY ETERNITY Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · T P Yung 4 11.0 1
3 0 WAR WEAPON Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 9 6.3 1
4 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang 3 8.1 1-1/2
5 0 CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 10 16.0 3-1/4
6 0 LOOKING COOL CP K Teetan · F C Lor 14 11.0 3-1/4
8 0 TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson 11 44.0 5-3/4
9 0 CHILLI BABA B M Dee · P F Yiu 7 14.0 6-1/2
10 0 FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes 12 50.0 7-3/4
11 0 BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C H Yip 13 86.0 9-1/2
12 0 COPARTNER PUDONG Led early B M F Poon · J Size 1 75.0 10-1/2
14 0 GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 8 31.0 13-3/4
— 0 PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly XB1/TT1 H Bowman · D J Whyte — 6.6 3-1/2
— 0 PODIUM XB H W Lai · K W Lui — 69.0 11-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLYING MOJITO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with LUCKY ETERNITY second and WAR WEAPON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING MOJITO—2. LUCKY ETERNITY+1L3. WAR WEAPON+1L4. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE+1.5L5. CELTIC TIMES+3.25L6. LOOKING COOL+3.25L8. TURIN WARRIOR+5.75L9. CHILLI BABA+6.5L10. FEARLESS FIRE+7.75L11. BROTHER PEARL+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FLYING MOJITO (31.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FLYING MOJITO 31.9% 3.13 1
2 0 PRINCE ALEX 9.7% 10.28 —
3 0 LOOKING COOL 9.2% 10.85 6
4 0 WAR WEAPON 8.1% 12.31 3
5 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 8.1% 12.41 4
6 0 LUCKY ETERNITY 4.9% 20.47 2
7 0 FEARLESS FIRE 4.6% 21.54 10
8 0 CHILLI BABA 4.6% 21.54 9
9 0 TURIN WARRIOR 4.6% 21.63 8
10 0 CELTIC TIMES 4.4% 22.56 5
11 0 BROTHER PEARL 3.7% 26.94 11
12 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 3.5% 28.63 14
13 0 COPARTNER PUDONG 1.3% 78.66 12
14 0 PODIUM 1.3% 78.79 —
FLYING MOJITO — wonPRINCE ALEXLOOKING COOLWAR WEAPONPRESIDENT'S CHOICELUCKY ETERNITYFEARLESS FIRECHILLI BABATURIN WARRIORCELTIC TIMESBROTHER PEARLGO GO SIXTEENCOPARTNER PUDONGPODIUM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 28

PLACE

2 20

3 15

11 32

QUINELLA

3,11 142.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 36.5

2,11 117

3,11 62

FORECAST

3,11 236

TIERCE

3,11,2 1,054

TRIO

2,3,11 313

FIRST 4

2,3,11,14 414

QUARTET

3,11,2,14 5,609

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 19.5

A3 —

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,10/2,3,11 4,492

8TH DOUBLE

10/3 64

10/11 49.5