Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 20:09
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLYING MOJITO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with LUCKY ETERNITY second and WAR WEAPON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly B/XB 1.34.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY ETERNITY Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · T P Yung | B Avdulla | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | WAR WEAPON Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 3 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LOOKING COOL CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly XB1/TT1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CHILLI BABA B M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 50.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 86.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | COPARTNER PUDONG Led early B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 1 | 75.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | PODIUM XB H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 2 | 69.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 31.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO | 31.9% | 3.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PRINCE ALEX | 9.7% | 10.28 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | LOOKING COOL | 9.2% | 10.85 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | WAR WEAPON | 8.1% | 12.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 8.1% | 12.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 4.9% | 20.47 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE | 4.6% | 21.54 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | CHILLI BABA | 4.6% | 21.54 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | TURIN WARRIOR | 4.6% | 21.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | CELTIC TIMES | 4.4% | 22.56 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | BROTHER PEARL | 3.7% | 26.94 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 3.5% | 28.63 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | COPARTNER PUDONG | 1.3% | 78.66 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | PODIUM | 1.3% | 78.79 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 28
PLACE
2 20
3 15
11 32
QUINELLA
3,11 142.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 36.5
2,11 117
3,11 62
FORECAST
3,11 236
TIERCE
3,11,2 1,054
TRIO
2,3,11 313
FIRST 4
2,3,11,14 414
QUARTET
3,11,2,14 5,609
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/2,3,11 4,492
8TH DOUBLE
10/3 64
10/11 49.5