Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 16:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ADIOS, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with REWARDING TOGETHER second and COURIER WONDER third. The 1.9 favourite COURIER WONDER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ADIOS TT 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | COURIER WONDER H H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | DUKE WAI V Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MASTER EIGHT TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 56.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DUKE WAI | 30.9% | 3.24 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | COURIER WONDER | 25.7% | 3.89 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | ADIOS | 25.0% | 3.99 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 9.6% | 10.41 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | MASTER EIGHT | 5.1% | 19.74 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 3.7% | 27.12 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 26.5
PLACE
4 42
6 17
QUINELLA
4,6 155.5
FORECAST
6,4 304
TIERCE
6,4,1 462
TRIO
1,4,6 43
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 28
QUARTET
6,4,1,2 1,393
1ST DOUBLE
3/4 68.5
3/6 77