Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 21:18
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SILVER SONIC, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with ROMANTIC CHARM second and KILINDINI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SILVER SONIC Closed strongly XB 1.21.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | KILINDINI B1/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 10 | 29.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 14 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS B-/CP2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | KASA PAPA TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | SHINING GEM B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | THE RUNNER V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 2 | 43.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 31.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | STREET CONQUEROR H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 6 | 38.0 | 22 |
| — | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 12.3% | 8.11 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | NOBLE WIN | 12.3% | 8.12 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | SETANTA | 10.3% | 9.71 | 5 |
| 4 | 14 | SILVER SONIC | 10.2% | 9.85 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ | 8.2% | 12.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | MALDIVES | 7.6% | 13.13 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | THE RUNNER | 7.1% | 14.05 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 4.9% | 20.30 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | SHINING GEM | 4.8% | 20.81 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | KASA PAPA | 3.8% | 26.48 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | KILINDINI | 3.7% | 27.11 | 3 |
| 13 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 2.9% | 34.96 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | STREET CONQUEROR | 2.2% | 44.58 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 42
PLACE
6 34
11 74
14 18.5
QUINELLA
6,14 284
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 668
6,14 93
11,14 323
FORECAST
14,6 560
TIERCE
14,6,11 10,572
TRIO
6,11,14 3,760
FIRST 4
6,10,11,14 4,829
QUARTET
14,6,11,10 89,949
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
1/6 31
1/14 50
2ND TREBLE
3/1/6 74
3/1/14 117
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 26.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/6,11,14 59,110
SIX UP
2/3,4/10/3/1/14 281
2,6/3,4,9/7,10/3,11/1,3/6,14 111
1 [Z Purton] —
2 [K W Lui] —