沙田 · 2023-07-09 · 21:18
第 11場
2023-07-09沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bentley策騎、K W Lui訓練的SILVER SONIC勝出，贏出1/2。ROMANTIC CHARM獲得亞軍；KILINDINI獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SILVER SONIC 後段發力 XB 1.21.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | KILINDINI B1/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 10 | 29.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 14 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SETANTA 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS B-/CP2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | MALDIVES 後段發力 XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ 後段發力 H/SR/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | KASA PAPA TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | SHINING GEM B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | THE RUNNER V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 2 | 43.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 31.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | STREET CONQUEROR H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 6 | 38.0 | 22 |
| — | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 12.3% | 8.11 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | NOBLE WIN | 12.3% | 8.12 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | SETANTA | 10.3% | 9.71 | 5 |
| 4 | 14 | SILVER SONIC | 10.2% | 9.85 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ | 8.2% | 12.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | MALDIVES | 7.6% | 13.13 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | THE RUNNER | 7.1% | 14.05 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 4.9% | 20.30 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | SHINING GEM | 4.8% | 20.81 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | KASA PAPA | 3.8% | 26.48 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | KILINDINI | 3.7% | 27.11 | 3 |
| 13 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 2.9% | 34.96 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | STREET CONQUEROR | 2.2% | 44.58 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 42
PLACE
6 34
11 74
14 18.5
QUINELLA
6,14 284
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 668
6,14 93
11,14 323
FORECAST
14,6 560
TIERCE
14,6,11 10,572
TRIO
6,11,14 3,760
FIRST 4
6,10,11,14 4,829
QUARTET
14,6,11,10 89,949
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
1/6 31
1/14 50
2ND TREBLE
3/1/6 74
3/1/14 117
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 26.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/6,11,14 59,110
SIX UP
2/3,4/10/3/1/14 281
2,6/3,4,9/7,10/3,11/1,3/6,14 111
1 [Z Purton] —
2 [K W Lui] —