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Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 20:43

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 9 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 ACE ONE B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 15.0 3/4
3 0 BEAUTY GLORY H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 2 20.0 2-1/4
5 0 READY TO WIN XB/CP2/TT A Badel · F C Lor 8 20.0 3-1/4
6 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT B M Dee · K L Man 10 51.0 3-1/2
7 0 SEIZING THE MOMENT B L Currie · J Size 9 84.0 4-1/4
8 0 GORGEOUS VITALITY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor 1 59.0 6
9 0 KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes 5 75.0 8-3/4
11 0 EURO ROCKS TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 11 12.0 11-3/4
12 0 GALLANT CROWN B A Hamelin · A T Millard 12 141.0 17-1/2
— 0 I CAN C L Chau · P C Ng — 51.0 10-1/2
— 0 HELIOS EXPRESS Z Purton · J Size — 1.3 3/4
— 0 TOMODACHI KOKOROE H/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes — 7.8 3

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ACE ONE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with BEAUTY GLORY second and READY TO WIN third. The 1.3 favourite HELIOS EXPRESS did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. ACE ONE+0.75L3. BEAUTY GLORY+2.25L5. READY TO WIN+3.25L6. COMPASSION SPIRIT+3.5L7. SEIZING THE MOMENT+4.25L8. GORGEOUS VITALITY+6L9. KOKUSHI MUSOU+8.75L11. EURO ROCKS+11.75L12. GALLANT CROWN+17.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HELIOS EXPRESS 52.5% 1.90 —
2 0 ACE ONE 7.7% 13.03 2
3 0 READY TO WIN 7.4% 13.45 5
4 0 EURO ROCKS 7.3% 13.62 11
5 0 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 6.1% 16.49 —
6 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT 4.3% 23.34 6
7 0 GORGEOUS VITALITY 3.4% 29.49 8
8 0 SEIZING THE MOMENT 3.0% 33.88 7
9 0 GALLANT CROWN 2.9% 34.66 12
10 0 I CAN 2.3% 43.96 —
11 0 BEAUTY GLORY 2.0% 49.97 3
12 0 KOKUSHI MUSOU 1.2% 86.90 9
HELIOS EXPRESSACE ONEREADY TO WINEURO ROCKSTOMODACHI KOKOROECOMPASSION SPIRITGORGEOUS VITALITYSEIZING THE MOMENTGALLANT CROWNI CANBEAUTY GLORYKOKUSHI MUSOU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 13

PLACE

1 10.1

3 21

4 38.5

QUINELLA

1,3 54

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 24.5

1,4 44.5

3,4 153.5

FORECAST

1,3 51

TIERCE

1,3,4 468

TRIO

1,3,4 238

FIRST 4

1,3,4,12 253

QUARTET

1,3,4,12 2,257

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 13

A2 —

A3 —

9TH DOUBLE

3/1 34.5

3/3 57