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Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 19:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CALL ME DANDY CP/XB 1.09.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K W Lui 1 2.2 1-3/4
3 0 XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 7 19.0 2
4 0 ROYAL PRIDE TT K H Chan · C Fownes 10 24.0 2-1/4
5 0 WONDERFUL UNICORN TT K Teetan · D J Hall 4 47.0 2-3/4
6 0 SAKEWIN CP L Ferraris · F C Lor 2 7.8 3-3/4
7 0 LIGHTNING BOLT TT H Bowman · C S Shum 12 10.0 3-3/4
8 0 RAGNARR TT1 Z Purton · T P Yung 9 11.0 4
9 0 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING CP-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 63.0 4-1/2
10 0 BRILLIANT WAY H/TT L Currie · J Size 5 42.0 5-3/4
11 0 DROPS OF GOD A Badel · J Size 8 12.0 7
12 0 AMAZING ACE M L Yeung · P C Ng 6 22.0 7
— 0 SELF IMPROVEMENT TT B Avdulla · K L Man — 5.6 1-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CALL ME DANDY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with XPONENTIAL second and ROYAL PRIDE third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALL ME DANDY—3. XPONENTIAL+2L4. ROYAL PRIDE+2.25L5. WONDERFUL UNICORN+2.75L6. SAKEWIN+3.75L7. LIGHTNING BOLT+3.75L8. RAGNARR+4L9. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING+4.5L10. BRILLIANT WAY+5.75L11. DROPS OF GOD+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CALL ME DANDY (29.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CALL ME DANDY 29.4% 3.41 1
2 0 XPONENTIAL 11.3% 8.87 3
3 0 RAGNARR 10.8% 9.24 8
4 0 SELF IMPROVEMENT 10.2% 9.80 —
5 0 ROYAL PRIDE 9.4% 10.60 4
6 0 LIGHTNING BOLT 7.4% 13.49 7
7 0 DROPS OF GOD 6.8% 14.78 11
8 0 SAKEWIN 3.8% 26.31 6
9 0 BRILLIANT WAY 3.5% 28.76 10
10 0 WONDERFUL UNICORN 2.8% 35.26 5
11 0 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING 2.4% 42.52 9
12 0 AMAZING ACE 2.3% 44.37 12
CALL ME DANDY — wonXPONENTIALRAGNARRSELF IMPROVEMENTROYAL PRIDELIGHTNING BOLTDROPS OF GODSAKEWINBRILLIANT WAYWONDERFUL UNICORNYOU'REMYEVERYTHINGAMAZING ACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 22.5

PLACE

2 38.5

7 19

10 12.5

QUINELLA

7,10 59.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 130

2,10 75.5

7,10 30.5

FORECAST

10,7 102

TIERCE

10,7,2 802

TRIO

2,7,10 247

FIRST 4

2,7,10,11 537

QUARTET

10,7,2,11 5,203

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 19

A2 —

A3 —

7TH DOUBLE

3,4/7 29

3,4/10 79.5