Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 19:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CALL ME DANDY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with SELF IMPROVEMENT second and XPONENTIAL third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB 1.09.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 1 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 11 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | ROYAL PRIDE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 4 | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SAKEWIN CP L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 7.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | RAGNARR TT1 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING CP-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 63.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | BRILLIANT WAY H/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 5 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | DROPS OF GOD A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | AMAZING ACE M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 6 | 22.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CALL ME DANDY | 29.4% | 3.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | XPONENTIAL | 11.3% | 8.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | RAGNARR | 10.8% | 9.24 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 10.2% | 9.80 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | ROYAL PRIDE | 9.4% | 10.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 7.4% | 13.49 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | DROPS OF GOD | 6.8% | 14.78 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | SAKEWIN | 3.8% | 26.31 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | BRILLIANT WAY | 3.5% | 28.76 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 2.8% | 35.26 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 2.4% | 42.52 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | AMAZING ACE | 2.3% | 44.37 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 22.5
PLACE
2 38.5
7 19
10 12.5
QUINELLA
7,10 59.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 130
2,10 75.5
7,10 30.5
FORECAST
10,7 102
TIERCE
10,7,2 802
TRIO
2,7,10 247
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 537
QUARTET
10,7,2,11 5,203
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
3,4/7 29
3,4/10 79.5