Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 18:02
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MAGIC SUPREME, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by N, with PINS PRINCE second and SEE U AGAIN third. The 2.5 favourite ROUND THE GLOBE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT 1.09.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 3.6 | N |
| 3 | 4 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 32.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | VANQUISHER PC1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 7 | 49.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | ROUND THE GLOBE CP1 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | GOOD VIEW GLORY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | NOBLE PURSUIT B1/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | KYRUS UNICORN B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 9 | 68.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | REGENT GLORY K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | EASY SNIP B M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 11 | 16.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | LIKE THAT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 2 | GO HERO K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ROUND THE GLOBE | 25.0% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME | 18.9% | 5.28 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | EASY SNIP | 8.7% | 11.53 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | REGENT GLORY | 8.3% | 12.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 8.0% | 12.50 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | PINS PRINCE | 7.9% | 12.67 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON | 6.7% | 14.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 5.0% | 19.89 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | SEE U AGAIN | 4.9% | 20.61 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.6% | 21.87 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | VANQUISHER | 2.1% | 48.47 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 124
PLACE
3 15
4 62.5
8 39.5
QUINELLA
3,8 268
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 169
3,8 92
4,8 387.5
FORECAST
8,3 580
TIERCE
8,3,4 11,994
TRIO
3,4,8 2,840
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 9,569
QUARTET
8,3,4,10 219,466
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/9/3 19,345
10/9/8 114,126
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/F 14,143
3 PICK 1
A3 35.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 2,771.5
9/8 25,032.5