Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 17:03
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Wire to wire CP-/B2 1.35.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 12 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 5 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 58.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 46.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly CP K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 6.9 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 8 | 9.4 | 15 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 25.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BOYS PARTY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 75.0 | 17 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER JOY P/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 53.0 | 22 |
| 14 | 0 | CHARIZARD B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 37.0 | 25-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCKY MISSILE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with SPLENDID STAR second and SUPERB DADDY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.5 favourite BRILLIANT PIONEER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 19.2% | 5.20 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER | 13.3% | 7.50 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 8.9% | 11.24 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 8.7% | 11.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 7.0% | 14.34 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 6.7% | 14.91 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 6.6% | 15.13 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 6.2% | 16.13 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 5.4% | 18.39 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | BOYS PARTY | 4.2% | 23.87 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER JOY | 3.6% | 27.80 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 3.4% | 28.99 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | SURREALISM | 3.4% | 29.13 | 4 |
| 14 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 3.3% | 30.39 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 56.5
PLACE
4 21
10 20.5
13 51
QUINELLA
10,13 724.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 61
4,13 164.5
10,13 205.5
FORECAST
10,13 1,257
TIERCE
10,13,4 6,803
TRIO
4,10,13 1,019
FIRST 4
3,4,10,13 3,673
QUARTET
10,13,4,3 96,241
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/4,10,13 18,367
2ND DOUBLE
6/10 468.5
6/13 74.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24
A1 —