Sha Tin · 2023-07-09 · 16:02
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-09 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KA YING VICTORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-1/4, with RUBY SAILING second and SUPER BONUS third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KA YING VICTORY 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 1.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | RUBY SAILING B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 2 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER BONUS B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 6 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 10 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HOLY LAKE XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MANAGEMENT HEART XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | E GLORY A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 199.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | CHANCHENG GLORY XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | GALLANT VALOUR K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 58.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPIHOOD B M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 5 | 158.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | TELECOM DRAGON C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 219.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SONIC BOOM TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 58.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KA YING VICTORY | 46.9% | 2.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | RUBY SAILING | 13.2% | 7.56 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 11.8% | 8.50 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | MANAGEMENT HEART | 5.2% | 19.06 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER BONUS | 5.1% | 19.69 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 3.9% | 25.94 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | SONIC BOOM | 3.9% | 25.95 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | HOLY LAKE | 3.7% | 26.69 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | GALLANT VALOUR | 3.7% | 27.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPIHOOD | 1.3% | 78.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | E GLORY | 0.7% | 134.04 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | TELECOM DRAGON | 0.6% | 158.88 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 14.5
PLACE
2 25
3 11.5
10 13.5
QUINELLA
3,10 27
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 38.5
2,10 69
3,10 14.5
FORECAST
3,10 41
TIERCE
3,10,2 175
TRIO
2,3,10 82
FIRST 4
2,3,6,10 298
QUARTET
3,10,2,6 1,884
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —