沙田 · 2023-10-15 · 10:00
第 10場
2023-10-15沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、F C Lor訓練的LUCKY WITH YOU勝出，贏出HD。FLYING ACE獲得亞軍；BUNDLE OF CHARM獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門DREAM WINNER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU B- 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 7 | 27.0 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING ACE B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 5.8 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 8 | DREAM WINNER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | REWARD SMILE TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 14 | 146.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | XPONENTIAL B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 6 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | POWER KOEPP E M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 126.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 90.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 10 | GOKO WIN B K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 11 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | CARROLL STREET B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 67.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DREAM WINNER | 27.4% | 3.65 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | NORDIC DRAGON | 14.1% | 7.11 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING ACE | 11.4% | 8.77 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | PACKING TREADMILL | 9.4% | 10.59 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | REWARD SMILE | 7.0% | 14.37 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 6.7% | 14.86 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 5.3% | 19.04 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | CARROLL STREET | 5.2% | 19.42 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | XPONENTIAL | 3.0% | 33.07 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 2.8% | 35.39 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | GOKO WIN | 2.6% | 38.09 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 2.5% | 40.48 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.4% | 71.20 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | POWER KOEPP | 1.3% | 79.68 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 274.5
PLACE
4 21
6 62
9 32.5
QUINELLA
4,6 697.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 215.5
4,9 119.5
6,9 354.5
FORECAST
6,4 1,826
TIERCE
6,4,9 18,661
TRIO
4,6,9 2,245
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 2,486
QUARTET
6,4,9,8 86,463
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/2/4 52
2/2/6 1,833
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,13/4,6,9 82,884
9TH DOUBLE
2/4 25.5
2/6 777
SIX UP
8,9/6,11/1,9/1,2/2,13/4,6 3,312
8/11/1/2/2/6 938,931
2 [H Bowman] —
3 [P C Ng] —