沙田 · 2023-10-15 · 05:35
第 2場
2023-10-15沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的SUMMIT CHEERS勝出，贏出1。MULTISUPER獲得亞軍；SUPER COMMANDER獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門MULTISUPER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT 0.57.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 7.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MULTISUPER CP K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 13 | 3.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 8 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER FAST DRAGON XB/CP2/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 3 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAYDAY K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SPEEDY SMARTIE B-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 50.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | RUBY SAILING B1/TT1 Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 5.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 125.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | LUCKY FUN B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 8.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | LAPRAS CP1/SR1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 14 | 81.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 2 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 5 | 16.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RUBY SAILING | 37.5% | 2.67 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | HAYDAY | 10.4% | 9.60 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 7.2% | 13.96 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | MULTISUPER | 6.5% | 15.40 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY | 5.8% | 17.30 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER | 5.2% | 19.07 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 4.4% | 22.50 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY FUN | 4.3% | 23.45 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 4.0% | 25.11 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 3.4% | 29.20 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | LAPRAS | 1.5% | 65.62 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 1.2% | 85.80 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 0.7% | 150.62 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 75.5
PLACE
1 59.5
3 16.5
4 25
QUINELLA
3,4 188
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 171
1,4 223.5
3,4 72
FORECAST
4,3 473
TIERCE
4,3,1 4,856
TRIO
1,3,4 1,237
FIRST 4
1,3,4,13 3,885
QUARTET
4,3,1,13 77,589
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 92.5
1/4 452.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,7/1,3,4 53,317