沙田 · 2023-10-15 · 06:05
第 3場
2023-10-15沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的I GIVE勝出，贏出1。KA YING WARRIOR獲得亞軍；KAHOLO ANGEL獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門KA YING WARRIOR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | I GIVE 1.09.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | KA YING WARRIOR XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 1.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | PRINCE CHISWICK XB1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | RATTAN WORLD B/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 10 | 92.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | BIG TWO SR-/XB/CP1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 71.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | DRAGON DELIGHT B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 14 | 28.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | ALL ARE MINE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 71.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | BLISSFUL STAR V/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 32.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MARVEL DRAGON TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 54.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | DASHING SUCCESS TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 234.0 | 26-1/2 |
| — | 14 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 11 | 14.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KA YING WARRIOR | 20.8% | 4.80 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 19.2% | 5.20 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | I GIVE | 11.6% | 8.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 10.8% | 9.28 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | BIG TWO | 7.2% | 13.87 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | PRINCE CHISWICK | 6.9% | 14.48 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | BLISSFUL STAR | 5.5% | 18.35 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 4.8% | 20.89 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | MARVEL DRAGON | 3.5% | 28.20 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | ALL ARE MINE | 3.1% | 32.31 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | RATTAN WORLD | 2.9% | 34.55 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 2.8% | 35.15 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | DASHING SUCCESS | 0.8% | 123.30 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 72.5
PLACE
2 23.5
5 11.5
8 22.5
QUINELLA
5,8 73
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 34.5
2,8 103
5,8 34
FORECAST
8,5 249
TIERCE
8,5,2 1,330
TRIO
2,5,8 183
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 394
QUARTET
8,5,2,7 10,963
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
4/5 33
4/8 1,004.5