沙田 · 2023-10-15 · 07:40
第 6場
2023-10-15沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的ENSUED勝出，贏出1/2。SNAFFLES獲得亞軍；SWAN BAY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門MASTER OF FORTUNE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ENSUED 後段發力 1.48.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | SNAFFLES 後段發力 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | SWAN BAY 後段發力 B L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 4 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE 後段發力 TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | MASTER OF FORTUNE 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC VICTORY 早段領放 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B- A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 13 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | TOTAL POWER 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SECRET VISION CP/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 10 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | POWERFUL WINGS B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 8 | SUPER FOOTBALL B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 59.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | HARRY'S HERO XB L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 14 | 89.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 15.1% | 6.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 14.1% | 7.11 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 12.4% | 8.05 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | ENSUED | 12.0% | 8.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | SNAFFLES | 11.9% | 8.44 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE | 6.4% | 15.53 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | S J TOURBILLON | 5.3% | 18.92 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | SECRET VISION | 5.0% | 19.84 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | TOTAL POWER | 4.3% | 23.11 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | POWERFUL WINGS | 4.3% | 23.26 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 4.0% | 25.04 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | SWAN BAY | 3.2% | 31.19 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 1.5% | 67.94 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | HARRY'S HERO | 0.5% | 195.72 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 78
PLACE
6 19
9 40.5
11 26.5
QUINELLA
6,11 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 115
6,11 100
9,11 227.5
FORECAST
11,6 525
TIERCE
11,6,9 5,362
TRIO
6,9,11 1,173
FIRST 4
1,6,9,11 1,443
QUARTET
11,6,9,1 30,979
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9,13/6,9,11 20,615
5TH DOUBLE
8/6 32.5
8/11 648.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,5/4,8,9,13/6,9,11 2,098,978
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,5/4,8,9,13/Any Combination 1,282