沙田 · 2023-10-15 · 08:45
第 8場
2023-10-15沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的LUCKY ENCOUNTER勝出，贏出3/4。BEAUTY CRESCENT獲得亞軍；GREENWICH獲得季軍。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER 1.08.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | GREENWICH TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 14 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | COTTON FINGERS TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SINBA CP/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 56.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FOOLISH HEART K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 103.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | AMAZING DUCK H1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 50.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | ACE ONE XB-/B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 21 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 28.1% | 3.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | GREENWICH | 15.7% | 6.36 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | COTTON FINGERS | 10.3% | 9.74 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 9.9% | 10.06 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 7.7% | 13.06 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | ACE ONE | 4.7% | 21.14 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 4.6% | 21.79 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY | 4.1% | 24.62 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 3.9% | 25.76 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.9% | 33.96 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | SINBA | 2.3% | 43.17 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | AMAZING DUCK | 2.3% | 43.87 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | FOOLISH HEART | 1.8% | 54.19 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 1.7% | 58.89 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 21.5
PLACE
1 41.5
2 11.5
14 26
QUINELLA
1,2 180
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 67.5
1,14 183.5
2,14 42.5
FORECAST
2,1 294
TIERCE
2,1,14 1,765
TRIO
1,2,14 440
FIRST 4
1,2,8,14 836
QUARTET
2,1,14,8 11,309
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/1,2,14 7,633
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 89.5
1/2 149.5