Sha Tin · 2023-10-15 · 16:44
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER 1.08.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GREENWICH TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 14 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | COTTON FINGERS TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SINBA CP/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 56.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FOOLISH HEART K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 103.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING DUCK H1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 50.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | ACE ONE XB-/B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 21 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY ENCOUNTER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with BEAUTY CRESCENT second and GREENWICH third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 28.1% | 3.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GREENWICH | 15.7% | 6.36 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | COTTON FINGERS | 10.3% | 9.74 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 9.9% | 10.06 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 7.7% | 13.06 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | ACE ONE | 4.7% | 21.14 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 4.6% | 21.79 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY | 4.1% | 24.62 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 3.9% | 25.76 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.9% | 33.96 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SINBA | 2.3% | 43.17 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING DUCK | 2.3% | 43.87 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | FOOLISH HEART | 1.8% | 54.19 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 1.7% | 58.89 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 21.5
PLACE
1 41.5
2 11.5
14 26
QUINELLA
1,2 180
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 67.5
1,14 183.5
2,14 42.5
FORECAST
2,1 294
TIERCE
2,1,14 1,765
TRIO
1,2,14 440
FIRST 4
1,2,8,14 836
QUARTET
2,1,14,8 11,309
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/1,2,14 7,633
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 89.5
1/2 149.5