Sha Tin · 2023-10-15 · 17:18
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly 1.21.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Led early TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | JOYFUL HUNTER Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BIG RED K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 5 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 7.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 13 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE DREAMS TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 14 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ZOOM BOOM B-/SR1/XB1 A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 2 | 90.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SETANTA B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 59.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER B/TT- A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 4 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 164.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SOLAR GOGO L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 133.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | NORDIC STAR TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 10 | 152.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-15 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAJ DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1, with SUPER WINNER second and JOYFUL HUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite JOYFUL HUNTER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 13.5% | 7.40 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 9.9% | 10.09 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 8.2% | 12.16 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE DREAMS | 5.7% | 17.60 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG RED | 5.5% | 18.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 5.1% | 19.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 4.7% | 21.28 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SETANTA | 3.2% | 31.32 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SOLAR GOGO | 3.0% | 33.08 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | ZOOM BOOM | 3.0% | 33.34 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.1% | 47.27 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 2.1% | 47.61 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | NORDIC STAR | 1.7% | 58.75 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 33.5
PLACE
2 13.5
6 11.5
13 51
QUINELLA
2,13 302
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 19
2,13 99.5
6,13 81
FORECAST
2,13 584
TIERCE
2,13,6 1,423
TRIO
2,6,13 203
FIRST 4
2,6,11,13 495
QUARTET
2,13,6,11 12,392
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/2 49.5
2/13 165