Sha Tin · 2023-10-15 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LESLIE Closed strongly B 1.22.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 5 | 21.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ALWAYS FLUKE Closed strongly CP/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 6.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | PINS PRINCE Closed strongly H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 12 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TOP TOP TEA B1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GO GO GO Closed strongly H-/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 2 | 38.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 1 | 9.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER Closed strongly H/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 7 | 59.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | G LINER Closed strongly SR-/XB1/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 9 | 145.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT B K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 13 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DASHING GLORY Closed strongly SR/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 283.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | HERO ICON TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 14 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LESLIE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with ALWAYS FLUKE second and PINS PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite TOP TOP TEA finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 18.0% | 5.55 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TOP TOP TEA | 16.0% | 6.23 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | PINS PRINCE | 13.5% | 7.40 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS | 12.3% | 8.13 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 9.9% | 10.09 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | HERO ICON | 6.3% | 15.79 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT | 6.1% | 16.39 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | LESLIE | 5.5% | 18.08 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | GO GO GO | 3.7% | 27.21 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | CHILLI BABA | 3.1% | 32.53 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER | 2.1% | 46.61 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 1.8% | 56.43 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | G LINER | 1.0% | 103.12 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | DASHING GLORY | 0.6% | 164.83 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 211
PLACE
2 50
4 24
5 21.5
QUINELLA
2,5 606.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 196.5
2,5 170.5
4,5 60.5
FORECAST
2,5 1,486
TIERCE
2,5,4 6,415
TRIO
2,4,5 797
FIRST 4
2,4,5,9 753
QUARTET
2,5,4,9 24,438
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/2,4,5 7,574
3RD DOUBLE
8/2 1,622.5
8/5 107.5