Sha Tin · 2023-10-15 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B 2.02.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 1 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD STERLING Closed strongly P-/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 36.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | RING BELLS B/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 8 | 2.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Led early TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-15 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. KYRUS UNICORN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/2, with JOYFUL CHAMPION second and FIERY FLYING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite SPLENDID STAR finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 44.0% | 2.27 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | FIERY FLYING | 19.6% | 5.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 12.5% | 8.00 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 10.3% | 9.74 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 7.6% | 13.20 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.4% | 29.43 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | RING BELLS | 1.6% | 61.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLD STERLING | 1.0% | 95.58 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 78
PLACE
1 21.5
4 15
7 20.5
QUINELLA
1,7 253.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 46
1,7 73.5
4,7 43.5
FORECAST
1,7 559
TIERCE
1,7,4 1,772
TRIO
1,4,7 262
FIRST 4
1,4,6,7 362
QUARTET
1,7,4,6 9,752