Sha Tin · 2023-10-15 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT 1.22.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 6.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SMART FIGHTER Closed strongly TT1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WISE DRAGON Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER Closed strongly B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 10 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD SR-/XB/B1/TT1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GO HERO L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 5 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | FREE FOAL V L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 3 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER BONUS Led early B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC-/XB/B2/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 9 | 69.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 13 | 44.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FORERUNNER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE PURSUIT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with SMART FIGHTER second and YOUNG HORIZON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite YOUNG HORIZON finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON | 20.0% | 5.01 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD | 12.3% | 8.15 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 10.5% | 9.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER BONUS | 10.0% | 9.98 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART FIGHTER | 7.8% | 12.74 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 6.9% | 14.54 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER | 6.6% | 15.05 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | NOBLE WIN | 6.3% | 15.99 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 5.1% | 19.45 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 4.5% | 22.03 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 4.0% | 24.98 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | GO HERO | 3.6% | 28.00 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 2.3% | 43.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 69.5
PLACE
8 22
9 15.5
13 13.5
QUINELLA
8,9 170.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 58.5
8,13 55
9,13 31
FORECAST
8,9 319
TIERCE
8,9,13 1,086
TRIO
8,9,13 168
FIRST 4
8,9,10,13 453
QUARTET
8,9,13,10 10,556
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/2/8 11,065
8/2/9 2,064
4TH DOUBLE
2/8 898
2/9 167.5